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inflation moderates slightly

Inflation Moderates Slightly in March 2022 After Increasing for 8 Months

The consumer price index (CPI) fell from 8.5% in March to 8.3% in April, according to the report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, failing to meet the expectations of Wall Street for consumer prices and inflation. Economists had previously forecasted a drop to 8.1% for the same time period, owing to raises in rates from the Federal Reserve. However, it still was the first drop in eight months. While experts believe that inflation may finally have peaked, others feel that the Federal Reserve will need to be more aggressive regarding the interest rates for things to return to normal levels.

This is reflected in the way that prices went up. The consumer price index went up 0.6% for most items between March and April, with the exception of groceries and gas. Wall Street expected a rise of only 0.4%, given that the increase was 0.3% in March. The fact that the increase doubled is a sign that inflation is still a factor.

This increase in prices caused the stocks to end lower once more. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished 1% lower, or over 300 points,the same day the report was released. The S&P 500 meanwhile fell 1.6%, and Nasdaq Composite fell by 3.2%.Some of the heaviest hits were felt in the Tech industry, with companies such as Netflix, Amazon, Apple, and Tesla falling by 3% or more due to the continued offload of shares by investors.

This data has worsened the state of the crypto market, as well as further eroded the confidence of its investors. Bitcoin’s price fell another 7% to reach around $29,000, its lowest point since the late 2020-early 2021 surge in price. Though it has since stabilized at around $30,000.

While food, shelter, and vehicle prices surged, gas prices fell around 6%, which helped counteract the overall increase and slow the rate of inflation. Experts believe that the peak of inflation has most likely been reached, but that the prices will continue to be above the Fed’s expectations during 2023. The chief economist of Comerica Bank, Bill Adams, stated that the slower inflation seen in April was most likely an effect of March’s gas price surge, itself owed to the Russia-Ukraine war.

This slow down of inflation, after a 40-year high, paints a slightly better picture after months of price increases. Still, April was the second-highest inflation level in four decades. The Federal Reserve set a 2% rate of inflation as its target, but experts expect that to rise to 5% or 6%, one of its highest points in history.

Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer of Independent Advisor Alliance, stated that the Fed would need to raise rates more quickly and to higher levels in order for things to stabilize. He predicted at least four 50 bps rate hikes during 2023. On May 10th, one day before the report was revealed, United States President Joe Biden referred to inflation as his top domestic priority and the mainproblem that families are currently facing. This increased escalation in inflation is owed, in part, due to disruptions in supply chains caused by the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic.

Durbin Double Down

Durbin Double Down [2023 Update]

In this installment of the Official Merchant Services Blog, we look at the actions several retail trade groups and merchant advocates have taken to further the fight against the antitrust settlement proposed by Visa and MasterCard.  We have touched upon this subject several times before, however these steps may have been the most drastic yet.

In an open letter last week to leading members of congress, the National Retail Federation (NRF), the Retail Industry Leaders Association (RILA), and seven other large retail-related groups expressed their frustration with the pending litigation in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York, saying that the outcome could further “entrench the Visa/MasterCard duopoly.”

The groups called on congress to pay attention to the state court settlement, in an attempt to escalate the issue and garner attention from lawmakers and Americans.

The groups argue, “The proposed settlement, which was negotiated by Visa, MasterCard and lawyers purporting to represent the merchant community, is one-sided and preserves the very anti competitive actions that were the genesis of the lawsuits.”

“Given the important oversight role of Congress and your continued interest in this important issue, we write today to urge you to reject the false claims from the card networks and their representatives.” The letter also stated “The proposed settlement does nothing to resolve the failures in the electronic payment market and continued Congressional involvement in these issues is imperative. We look forward to keeping you fully informed as the legal process moves forward and the chorus of objections grows.”

RILA’s Brian Dodge described the problem retailers face, “Visa and MasterCard centrally set fees that are ultimately paid by merchants and collected by issuing banks. With two fee schedules imposed by two companies that control 70 percent of the marker there is no meaningful competition.”

The groups argue that the $7.2 billion dollar settlement is not the problem, even going so far as to accuse Visa and MasterCard of using the pending settlement exchanges as penitence for maintaining the status quo.

In a statement released in July, just after the settlement was announced Visa said it believes that the settlement is in the best interests of all parties involved. “This agreement should remove the distraction of litigation for all parties,” said Joshua R. Floum, general counsel of Visa Inc. “We will go forward with a focus on helping retailers grow their businesses and providing them with efficient and valuable payment options.”

On October 3rd, these retail and trade groups will appear before a court seeking to order the Federal Reserve Board to start over in devising regulations for implementing the controversial amendment’s provisions because the Fed allegedly did not follow the amendment’s dictates in setting the debit card rules now in place. The trade groups and retailers sued the Fed last November in an effort to start the rule-setting process anew. In a May filing, the plaintiffs said the board “manufactured ambiguity” in its interpretation of the amendment’s language. A Federal Reserve spokesperson would not comment about the upcoming hearing, although attorneys for the Fed said the board properly implemented the law’s directives regarding the authorization and settlement costs that could be considered in regulating debit card interchange, as well as which costs to exclude.

Retail groups continue to fight both the Interchange settlement and the Federal Reserve Boards Durbin rules.  There seems to be no end in sight for this case, and only time will tell if the Fed will be forced to reset its Durbin amendment rules and regulations and start anew.

The Durbin Amendment is big news right now for merchant services providers

The Countdown Begins

Host Merchant Services has been ahead of the curve on the Durbin Amendment, and its impact on the merchant services industry. The amendment takes effect on October 1, 2011. Between now and then The Official Merchant Services Blog is going to link to and analyze a new article from an outside source that discusses the changes brought on by the Durbin Amendment as well as how those changes affect Merchant Services Providers and their customers.

The first article we look at was published by The Green Bay Press Gazette. You’ll find that quite a few of the articles delving into these changes are predicting that consumers will not benefit from the legislation, despite the fact that consumers were specifically cited as the catalyst for this reform. And that’s also what Host Merchant Services predicted with its Durbin Amendment Analysis.

As the Gazette article states:

“Consumers, who are supposed to be protected by the new cap, might not be happy either if banks impose other fees to make up for the lost income.”

The Gazette provides some compelling statistics as the reason for the consumer consternation over the upcoming changes. Specifically noting that initially the Durbin Amendment was supposed to cap swipe fees Continue reading